Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.003344 0.003508 0.003677 0.003862 0.004060 0.004266 0.004496
2025-05-04 0.003029 0.003271 0.003528 0.003823 0.004153 0.004511 0.004931
2025-05-11 0.002833 0.003119 0.003431 0.003799 0.004222 0.004698 0.005275
2025-05-18 0.002680 0.002996 0.003347 0.003771 0.004271 0.004847 0.005568
2025-05-25 0.002607 0.002953 0.003347 0.003831 0.004416 0.005107 0.005995
2025-06-01 0.002505 0.002870 0.003291 0.003819 0.004468 0.005251 0.006284
2025-06-08 0.002406 0.002784 0.003226 0.003788 0.004491 0.005357 0.006522
2025-06-15 0.002303 0.002687 0.003141 0.003727 0.004472 0.005403 0.006683
2025-06-22 0.002214 0.002603 0.003069 0.003676 0.004460 0.005456 0.006849
2025-06-29 0.002158 0.002557 0.003040 0.003678 0.004513 0.005593 0.007132
2025-07-06 0.002055 0.002449 0.002930 0.003570 0.004418 0.005526 0.007131
2025-07-13 0.002009 0.002411 0.002906 0.003573 0.004467 0.005654 0.007403
2025-07-20 0.001987 0.002402 0.002919 0.003624 0.004584 0.005880 0.007830
2025-07-27 0.001928 0.002344 0.002867 0.003588 0.004580 0.005938 0.008015
2025-08-03 0.001878 0.002297 0.002828 0.003565 0.004593 0.006018 0.008237
2025-08-10 0.001830 0.002251 0.002787 0.003540 0.004600 0.006089 0.008445
2025-08-17 0.001817 0.002249 0.002805 0.003595 0.004721 0.006330 0.008925
2025-08-24 0.001779 0.002214 0.002777 0.003584 0.004747 0.006430 0.009189
2025-08-31 0.001737 0.002171 0.002738 0.003555 0.004746 0.006489 0.009390
2025-09-07 0.001687 0.002116 0.002680 0.003500 0.004702 0.006481 0.009479
2025-09-14 0.001642 0.002068 0.002630 0.003453 0.004670 0.006488 0.009593
2025-09-21 0.001616 0.002045 0.002615 0.003455 0.004710 0.006608 0.009901
2025-09-28 0.001557 0.001974 0.002531 0.003355 0.004594 0.006478 0.009776